Description

This analysis provides a forecast of VET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.016099 0.018226 0.020547 0.023271 0.026382 0.029831 0.033948
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.012966 0.015907 0.019400 0.023866 0.029446 0.036211 0.045073
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.011283 0.014600 0.018769 0.024419 0.031918 0.041588 0.055097
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.009775 0.013203 0.017710 0.024112 0.033041 0.045152 0.062993
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.008653 0.012123 0.016868 0.023887 0.034106 0.048593 0.070956
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.007765 0.011238 0.016154 0.023694 0.035103 0.051933 0.079036
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.007248 0.010811 0.016019 0.024282 0.037245 0.057098 0.090379
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.006601 0.010113 0.015398 0.024042 0.038051 0.060247 0.098839
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.006284 0.009882 0.015449 0.024829 0.040524 0.066234 0.112577
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.005664 0.009110 0.014574 0.024021 0.040276 0.067697 0.118723
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.005206 0.008557 0.013995 0.023635 0.040674 0.070245 0.127004
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004715 0.007904 0.013192 0.022782 0.040159 0.071120 0.132279
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.004560 0.007816 0.013344 0.023631 0.042801 0.077987 0.149799
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.004377 0.007662 0.013371 0.024262 0.045113 0.084503 0.167494
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.004199 0.007501 0.013366 0.024823 0.047336 0.091061 0.186064
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003912 0.007118 0.012924 0.024511 0.047822 0.094255 0.198011
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003664 0.006784 0.012545 0.024282 0.048441 0.097760 0.211032
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003443 0.006483 0.012200 0.024085 0.049099 0.101397 0.224774
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003335 0.006391 0.012249 0.024684 0.051469 0.108891 0.248228
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003139 0.006111 0.011905 0.024439 0.052006 0.112455 0.262923
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003070 0.006078 0.012053 0.025240 0.054907 0.121574 0.292188
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002841 0.005702 0.011471 0.024418 0.054087 0.122116 0.300249
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002672 0.005438 0.011101 0.024025 0.054205 0.124845 0.314203